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Friday, March 13, 2026 • TBD
South Carolina State Bulldogs
@
Howard Bison
+15.5
(-110)
Total
O/U 144.5
-15.5
(-110)

Quick Stats

Baseline model (see AI Analysis for detailed pick)

Home Cover Prob48.0%
Away Cover Prob52.0%
Edge+2.0%
Model: baseline_v1

Moneylines

South Carolina State Bulldogs+900
Howard Bison-1600

KenPom Analytics

#356
Rank
#205
-23.5
AdjEM
-3.1
95.7
AdjO
103.7
119.2
AdjD
106.8
68.5
Tempo
69.1
-9.2
SOS
-13.9
0.037
Luck
-0.023
10-21
Record
21-10
Data from KenPom.com

AI Analysis

* = analysis exists

💰
Recommended Bet
Away Spread
72%
confidence

Key Factors

  • •KenPom efficiency margin differential heavily favors Howard at approximately 20+ points
  • •Howard's defensive ranking (#124) significantly better than SCSU's offense (#353)
  • •15.5 spread appears conservative given SCSU's poor road performance likely
  • •Both teams play similar tempo limiting variance in possessions
  • •SCSU's positive luck factor suggests potential regression in close game situations

Analysis

The KenPom efficiency differential suggests Howard should win by approximately 20+ points, making the 15.5 spread appear generous for South Carolina State. Howard's solid defense (#124) facing SCSU's terrible offense (#353) creates a significant mismatch that the current line undervalues.

View full AI response
{
    "recommended_bet": "away_spread",
    "confidence_score": 0.72,
    "key_factors": [
        "KenPom efficiency margin differential heavily favors Howard at approximately 20+ points",
        "Howard's defensive ranking (#124) significantly better than SCSU's offense (#353)",
        "15.5 spread appears conservative given SCSU's poor road performance likely",
        "Both teams play similar tempo limiting variance in possessions",
        "SCSU's positive luck factor suggests potential regression in close game situations"
    ],
    "reasoning": "The KenPom efficiency differential suggests Howard should win by approximately 20+ points, making the 15.5 spread appear generous for South Carolina State. Howard's solid defense (#124) facing SCSU's terrible offense (#353) creates a significant mismatch that the current line undervalues."
}
Generated: 3/13/20261030 tokens