Skip to main content
← Back to Dashboard
Friday, March 13, 2026 • TBD
UT Arlington Mavericks
@
Utah Valley Wolverines
+8.5
(-110)
Total
O/U 134.5
-8.5
(-110)

Quick Stats

Baseline model (see AI Analysis for detailed pick)

Home Cover Prob52.0%
Away Cover Prob48.0%
Edge+2.0%
Model: baseline_v1

Moneylines

UT Arlington Mavericks+275
Utah Valley Wolverines-345

KenPom Analytics

#155
Rank
#89
1.0
AdjEM
9.2
102.5
AdjO
113.5
101.5
AdjD
104.3
65.0
Tempo
68.9
0.2
SOS
-0.7
0.046
Luck
0.042
18-13
Record
24-7
Data from KenPom.com

AI Analysis

* = analysis exists

💰
Recommended Bet
under
72%
confidence

Key Factors

  • •Both teams play very slow tempo (UVU 68.9, UTA 65.0) which significantly reduces possessions
  • •UTA has elite defense (#41 AdjD) that can slow down UVU's mediocre offense (#104 AdjO)
  • •Combined pace projects to ~67 possessions, well below average 70+ needed for high-scoring games
  • •UVU's offensive efficiency drops against quality defenses, and UTA provides that challenge
  • •Total of 134.5 appears inflated given tempo and defensive matchup dynamics

Analysis

This projects as a grind-it-out game between two slow-tempo teams, with UTA's elite defense (#41) capable of limiting UVU's already mediocre offense. The 134.5 total seems too high given the pace dynamics and defensive strength, creating value on the under.

View full AI response
{
    "recommended_bet": "under",
    "confidence_score": 0.72,
    "key_factors": [
        "Both teams play very slow tempo (UVU 68.9, UTA 65.0) which significantly reduces possessions",
        "UTA has elite defense (#41 AdjD) that can slow down UVU's mediocre offense (#104 AdjO)",
        "Combined pace projects to ~67 possessions, well below average 70+ needed for high-scoring games",
        "UVU's offensive efficiency drops against quality defenses, and UTA provides that challenge",
        "Total of 134.5 appears inflated given tempo and defensive matchup dynamics"
    ],
    "reasoning": "This projects as a grind-it-out game between two slow-tempo teams, with UTA's elite defense (#41) capable of limiting UVU's already mediocre offense. The 134.5 total seems too high given the pace dynamics and defensive strength, creating value on the under."
}
Generated: 3/13/20261074 tokens