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Friday, March 13, 2026 • TBD
North Texas Mean Green
@
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
+7.5
(-110)
Total
O/U 143.5
-7.5
(-110)

Quick Stats

Baseline model (see AI Analysis for detailed pick)

Home Cover Prob52.0%
Away Cover Prob48.0%
Edge+2.0%
Model: baseline_v1

Moneylines

North Texas Mean Green+255
Tulsa Golden Hurricane-320

KenPom Analytics

#137
Rank
#55
2.3
AdjEM
14.0
103.9
AdjO
122.2
101.6
AdjD
108.2
65.0
Tempo
67.9
0.5
SOS
0.1
0.023
Luck
0.016
19-13
Record
25-6
Data from KenPom.com

AI Analysis

* = analysis exists

💰
Recommended Bet
Away Spread
72%
confidence

Key Factors

  • •North Texas has elite defense (#42 AdjD) that can slow down Tulsa's offense
  • •Tulsa's weak defense (#146 AdjD) creates vulnerability against any competent offense
  • •KenPom efficiency margin suggests closer game than 7.5-point spread indicates
  • •Both teams play slow tempo which reduces variance and keeps games tight
  • •Tulsa's record appears inflated due to weak strength of schedule (#148)

Analysis

The KenPom efficiency matchup favors a much closer game than the 7.5-point spread suggests. North Texas's elite defense (#42) should neutralize Tulsa's offensive advantage, while Tulsa's poor defense (#146) keeps this competitive. The slow tempo reduces possessions and variance, making large margins less likely.

View full AI response
{
    "recommended_bet": "away_spread",
    "confidence_score": 0.72,
    "key_factors": [
        "North Texas has elite defense (#42 AdjD) that can slow down Tulsa's offense",
        "Tulsa's weak defense (#146 AdjD) creates vulnerability against any competent offense",
        "KenPom efficiency margin suggests closer game than 7.5-point spread indicates",
        "Both teams play slow tempo which reduces variance and keeps games tight",
        "Tulsa's record appears inflated due to weak strength of schedule (#148)"
    ],
    "reasoning": "The KenPom efficiency matchup favors a much closer game than the 7.5-point spread suggests. North Texas's elite defense (#42) should neutralize Tulsa's offensive advantage, while Tulsa's poor defense (#146) keeps this competitive. The slow tempo reduces possessions and variance, making large margins less likely."
}
Generated: 3/13/20261048 tokens